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The Danger to the Gaza Cease-Fire Isn’t Where You Think
… and neither is the solution. The thing that has stuck with me the most about being in Benghazi in the aftermath of the 9/11 US mission attacks was watching the euphoria of society after ousting that ball of bad hair Muammar Gaddafi atomize into a civil war as the factions all hustled to get a piece of the action. Power vacuums are like that. That feeling returned last week and I wasn’t able to quite shake in the long 72 hours after the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) announced
2 days ago4 min read


The Iran War: What's it Going to Cost You?
This story was updated 24 June 2025 It seems that everyone involved in this apocalyptic three-way is promising a lively week. Leaders are...
Jun 233 min read


Good News from the Middle East?
Good news from Syria? How the beleaguered nation could go right.
Dec 17, 20247 min read


Israel v. The World
Israel v. the World is inching closer to disaster.
Jul 31, 20243 min read


Hamas is More Isolated
The possibly killing of Mohammed Deif will damage the Hamas network.
Jul 18, 20242 min read


Hard landing for Iran's President
The death of Iran's president is going to trigger an internal blood bath in Tehran.
May 21, 20243 min read


Iran, Israel and the New Old Normal
What is Israel v Iran's old new normal going to cost you?
Apr 25, 20243 min read


The Hormuz Sideshow
Iran's seizure of a container ship in the Strait of Hormuz may be a bigger problem than its attacks on Israel.
Apr 16, 20245 min read


Israel Strikes, Iranian Targets & Syria
Israel's strike on Iranian targets in Syria wasn't the fog of war, but its inertia.
Apr 2, 20243 min read


Whisky Tango Foxtrot: Iran's 3H Club
With Iran in a shoot fight with Pakistan, can it continue fund the three H's?
Jan 19, 20245 min read


Whisky Tango Foxtrot: Lebanon
Lebanon and Hezbollah are not the same thing, although they are both train-wrecks.
Jan 10, 20242 min read


What's Next with World War III?
Leaving Ukraine - and Europe - to it's fate will trigger a chain reaction that we are not going to like.
Dec 8, 20234 min read


Oil Prices: The Gaza Ringer
No one with a soul wants to ask what the Israel/Hamas conflict is going to cost them, but someone is asking it.
Nov 8, 20232 min read


Egypt Can't Afford Food or Refugees
Egypt doesn't want an influx of Palestinian refugees - the country can barely feed itself.
Nov 3, 20231 min read


The Art of Letting Painful Things Go
The parallels are being drawn between the conflict in Israel and the troubles in Northern Ireland. And with good reason.
Oct 30, 20231 min read


Israel, Iran & The End of Days
What is going on in Israel, why Iran cares, and how much is it going to cost you?
Oct 9, 20235 min read


What is the Octopus Doctrine?
What is the Octopus Doctrine, why does it matter and is this the end of endless proxy wars?
Jun 28, 20223 min read
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