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The Doomsday Book
What will happen with a US default? Hard to say, but some of the damage is already done.
May 17, 20234 min read


How Strong is the Russian Economy?
Decoupling of the Russian economy won't do more to global markets that it already has. Decoupling of China will be miserable.
May 10, 20234 min read


A New Oil Block
The new deal between Saudi Arabia and Iran will bring stability to the region, but won't do long term energy security and prices any good.
Apr 5, 20234 min read


Guesswork, Almost.
Banking scares go both ways - as deposits and credit disappears. The panic was the sound of something breaking.
Mar 23, 20232 min read


Nine Month Delivery
After a strong start to the year, investors are hopeful for a rousing 2023. Beware of desperate exuberance.
Feb 15, 20233 min read


The China Syndrome
China's reopening is winding up to be the economic story of the year - but it's only February and the red flags are fluttering.
Feb 13, 20234 min read


An Inquiry into What in the Hell We Plan to do About Our Maxxed-out Uncle Sam
The Government has maxed-out its credit, but won't stop spending. Default looms and zaniness ensues.
Jan 25, 20237 min read


Davos Attendees Split on Economic Outlook, Sno-Bunnies.
Dispatch from the bar at the World Economic Forum in Davos: The end ins't ending, just confused.
Jan 19, 20233 min read


Bond Jollies Will Carry On
Bond Markets have come off their worst year since ever. The market is looking up, but don't expect a reset to boring. The jollies continue..
Jan 17, 20233 min read
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