Information is everywhere, Insight is power

America can keep this asymmetrical wheel spinning much longer than Tehran can. Practically, maybe not.

Uncertainty is uncomfortable for most people, but for people who rode to the top on a spreadsheet, the discomfort is neurotic.

Second-order thinking is uncomfortable. It forces you to confront tradeoffs your team would rather ignore, but the markets won’t.

From the Department of Unintended Consequences The possible endgames in Iran are starting to look like a Waffle House menu at 3am: Everything will probably give you heartburn, but booze and hunger make people optimistic. The administration is now using phrases like “degrade capability,” “strategic reset,” and “regional stabilization” for the same reason that CEOs do – use enough syllables and it’s less obvious that you’re pin-wheeling. The assumption is that if sufficient pre

Don't innovate for average, innovate for typical, and typical is a little weird.

Chances of miscalculation at the US China Summit are high... and personal.

Lose the Shock-Absorbers at Your Own Peril A few weeks after the attack on the US mission compound that killed US Ambassador Christopher Stevens, I was on a Turkish Air flight into Benghazi. “Qaddafi was a good ruler at first…” the doctor – a Libyan practicing in Ireland – told me, “…and the monarchy was corrupt and inefficient.” He was coming home for his brother’s funeral and thought the situation stable enough to bring his son, a restless lad of six or seven. The trouble,

Slow is Smooth, Smooth is Fast may help you outwit a cyber-verse of instant answers and everyone using them.

If you want to look smart, be a pessimist; if you want to be rich, be an optimist.